Predict

Log your personal predictions and keep score of your accuracy and calibration

Remember the last time you said "I'm sure I'll have this done by tomorrow", and it wasn't done? And the time before it?

Or the time when you were absolutely sure you had packed everything you needed for the trip, just to find out later you'd forgot your towel?

Humans are overconfident: when someone tells you they are 90% sure, chances are they will get it right only 60% of the time.

But you can train against this. Weight your beliefs, think about your feelings, and log with Predict what you think is going to happen tonight. When you know the answer, swipe right or left. Then check your score!